The Koren Lab

The cloud responses to global warming are captured in various global climate models with distinct inferences on changes in cloud vertical structure as function of surface warming. However, long term observational evidences are scarce to validate the model outputs. Here, we have studied the changes in radiosonde derived cloud macro-physical properties and their association with other atmospheric variables during the period 2000\u20132019 in response to warming climate over the Indian summer monsoon region. We have observed a statistically significant increase in the frequency of cloudy days (∼13 % decade⁻¹), high-level clouds (HLCs ∼11 % decade⁻¹) and simultaneous decrease in low-level clouds (LLCs ∼8 % decade⁻¹) over the Indian region during the monsoon season. The multiple linear regression, principle component analyses and further correlation analyses suggest significant associations between cloud vertical structure variations and large-scale climate indicators, such as global warming and El Niño-Southern Oscillation. The vertical extension of the tropospheric column and the upward shift of clouds, attributed to global warming, explain the changes observed in both HLCs and LLCs. These results contribute to a deeper understanding of the dynamic interplay between global climate change and regional cloud dynamics, with implications for weather and climate modeling.

This study summarizes and generalizes findings from recent studies, focusing on the connection between Cu dynamic properties, such as velocity field, entrainment/detrainment, and cloud microphysical properties, such as cloud dilution rate and droplet size distribution parameters. Special attention is paid to the mechanisms of cloud-surrounding interactions. In particular, we focus on numerical and analytical derivations from the results of 10-m-resolution Large Eddy Simulations (LES) with spectral bin microphysics and statistical analysis of the motion of passive tracers. We used wavelet filtration to separate the cloud's dynamic and microphysical fields into turbulent and convective ones. The main parameters of cloud turbulence and convective motions were evaluated. Turbulence was shown to form an interface zone of a few tens of meters between the cloud and the surrounding air. Convection-scale motions are responsible for dynamic and microphysical properties' formation in the cloud interior. The special role of the vortex ring (toroidal vortex, TV) arising in the upper part of developing clouds is stressed. This TV is responsible for dynamic and microphysical cloud structure formation. It determines the cloud's size, internal dynamics, and ascent velocity of the cloud top. It is demonstrated numerically and analytically that the TV-related cloud circulation leads to a mean adiabatic fraction of 0.4–0.5. The close relationship between this value and the shapes of the size distribution functions is demonstrated. The TV determines the width of the cloud core and disappears as soon as the core becomes diluted. Knowledge of the effects TV has on cloud microphysics and dynamics allows us to propose parameterization of the main dynamic and microphysical properties of small Cu using sounding data and aerosol concentrations. Significance statement: a) Turbulence forms a narrow interface zone along the cloud's edges and is not responsible for the dilution of the cloud body. b) The entrainment and detrainment in growing Cu are closely related to a convective-scale ring vortex (toroidal vortex, TV). The air circulation related to the TV is the main reason of cloud body dilution leading to the decrease in the adiabatic fraction. c) The mechanisms of entrainment related to the TV resolve “cloud top-liquid water paradox” and explain formation of relatively high cloud top under strong average cloud dilution. d) One of the main deficiencies of most convective parameterizations is the assumptions of cloud horizontal homogeneity and the coincidence of the altitudes of maximum entrainment and maximum vertical velocity. Due to existence of the TV, the entrainment level is located below the level of maximum velocity. The altitude of the maximum entrainment ascends together with the ascent of TV. e) The TV controls microphysical properties like adiabatic fraction (AF). There is a high correlation of properties of droplet size distributions and the value of AF. f) Considerations are given for a physically based simple parameterization of small Cu, based on the connection between cloud dynamics and microphysics.

Aerosols have been proposed to influence precipitation rates and spatial patterns from scales of individual clouds to the globe. However, large uncertainty remains regarding the underlying mechanisms and importance of multiple effects across spatial and temporal scales. Here we review the evidence and scientific consensus behind these effects, categorized into radiative effects via modification of radiative fluxes and the energy balance, and microphysical effects via modification of cloud droplets and ice crystals. Broad consensus and strong theoretical evidence exist that aerosol radiative effects (aerosol\u2013radiation interactions and aerosol\u2013cloud interactions) act as drivers of precipitation changes because global mean precipitation is constrained by energetics and surface evaporation. Likewise, aerosol radiative effects cause well-documented shifts of large-scale precipitation patterns, such as the intertropical convergence zone. The extent of aerosol effects on precipitation at smaller scales is less clear. Although there is broad consensus and strong evidence that aerosol perturbations microphysically increase cloud droplet numbers and decrease droplet sizes, thereby slowing precipitation droplet formation, the overall aerosol effect on precipitation across scales remains highly uncertain. Global cloud-resolving models provide opportunities to investigate mechanisms that are currently not well represented in global climate models and to robustly connect local effects with larger scales. This will increase our confidence in predicted impacts of climate change.